What price will Bitcoin hit on August 1?

Platform comparison

Market context

Bitcoin’s price on 1 August is being set in a market where payment and on-ramp frictions still matter for how much fresh capital reaches the order book. At the time of writing, the market is pricing a **0%** chance of a yes outcome, which implies traders see the target price as effectively out of reach on the settlement date rather than merely unlikely. Comparable forecasts for August 2026 are clustered well below the more extreme bullish calls: Finbold’s machine-learning tracker put a central estimate near **$64,784** for 1 August, while CoinCodex’s August view sat around **$66,031** and a separate rainbow-chart read placed plausible trading in the **$58,000–$66,000** band.[1][17][4]

For this market, the key question is not only spot direction but whether easier funding rails can widen participation enough to thicken depth around the relevant strikes. Recent market write-ups have tied the August setup to **ETF flow watch**, the post-Fed rate path, and whether Bitcoin can hold the **$60,000–$63,000** area while resistance near **$65,000–$70,000** keeps supply overhead.[5][6] Traders should also watch any new rollout or expansion of **Klarna**, **SEPA**, or **USDC** deposit and withdrawal options, because lower-fee fiat access and faster stablecoin rails can improve turnover and make conditional books less brittle, especially when macro catalysts hit.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares What price will Bitcoin hit on August 1? with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?

You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.

Which payment methods are supported?

Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.

Can I deposit with a credit card?

Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.

What's the minimum deposit?

10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).

How do withdrawals work?

Identical methods in reverse. SEPA withdrawal: T+1 (standard) or under 10 seconds (SEPA Instant). Klarna withdrawals process via bank-account refund. USDC withdrawal to external wallet: Polygon gas cost (typically $0.01).