Bitcoin price on June 23?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is the finalised close of the one-minute Binance candle for BTC/USDT at noon Eastern Time on 23 June 2026, which determines whether Bitcoin trades above a specific bracket. With the crowd-implied probability of a "Yes" resolution sitting at 0%, the market currently prices in a failure to breach that threshold, suggesting traders expect the price to remain within lower bounds despite recent volatility.

Historically, comparable resolution windows in mid-2025 saw Bitcoin peak near $126,000 before retreating to the $63,000–$64,000 range by mid-2026, as seen in June 12 data where the price was $63,359.71[2]. The current 52-week range spans $59,159.30 to $126,186.00[4], and with the live price hovering around $63,397[6], the 0% probability aligns with a consolidation phase rather than a breakout, mirroring the post-peak stabilisation observed last year.

Traders should monitor upcoming payment rail integrations, specifically Klarna and SEPA deposit fees, which directly influence on-ramp friction and funding flows into crypto books. Recent announcements regarding USDC withdrawal rails on major exchanges could alter liquidity depth, while the scheduled Binance maintenance window next week may temporarily disrupt candle data integrity[7]. According to a recent Fortune report, indirect investment via ETFs remains a key dependency for sustained book depth, and any regulatory shifts in this area could shift the probability from 0%[2].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Klarna UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Klarna UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Klarna UK?

Zero. Polymarket Klarna UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Klarna UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.