Bitcoin price on August 1?

Platform comparison

Market context

Bitcoin is trading as a late-morning snapshot price event, so the relevant question is whether BTC/USDT is above or below the chosen bracket at noon Eastern rather than where it settles later in the day. With the market set against Binance’s 1-minute candle close, even a brief move around the cut-off can decide the outcome, which makes the current **0% YES** probability more a reflection of the market’s present positioning than a guarantee about the print itself.[2][5]

Recent reference points leave BTC in a lower, range-bound regime versus its 2025 peak: sources this summer have put Bitcoin around the low- to mid-$60,000s, with daily data showing prints near $60,950 in late June, $60,003.76 on 1 July, and roughly $62,000–$63,000 in more recent reads.[7][13][17][18] Prediction venues are clustering most liquidity in the $60,000–$66,000 area, which is where traders are implicitly placing the highest odds on the noon close landing.[5] That helps explain why a market framed around a single Binance candle can stay thin until fresh spot flows, rather than broad macro conviction, push price through a bracket.

For traders focused on payment and on-ramp friction, the main catalysts are the speed and cost of new fiat inflows, because fast deposits can add book depth quickly while slow bank rails can mute intraday movement. Any change in support for Klarna-linked purchases, SEPA transfers, or USDC withdrawal routes would matter less for headline sentiment than for how quickly fresh capital reaches exchange balances and market makers. Near-term, watch for exchange notices on fiat rails, stablecoin transfer availability, and any scheduled macro events that could change risk appetite before the noon ET close; when BTC is already trading near a dense cluster of nearby ranges, small funding-flow shifts can determine whether the candle prints inside or outside the bracket.[2][5]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page compares Bitcoin price on August 1? with a focus on payment rails and deposit friction. Polymarket accepts USDC on Polygon only; Kalshi only ACH/Plaid (US only); Betfair card/SEPA in EU/UK; Manifold no deposit. Polymarket Klarna UK additionally offers Klarna and SOFORT as fiat on-ramps to USDC. Live odds reflect the Polymarket order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement path determines payout latency. Polymarket settles on-chain (USDC, minutes). Broker frontends like Polymarket Klarna UK add Klarna/SOFORT as fiat withdrawal options with T+1 processing. Kalshi: USD via ACH (T+1 to T+3). Betfair: local currency via card/SEPA (T+1 to T+5).

FAQ

How does Klarna deposit work on Polymarket Klarna UK?

You enter the deposit amount in EUR/GBP, choose Klarna as the method, run through Klarna's standard authentication (Pay Later or Direct Bank Transfer), and Polymarket Klarna UK converts internally to USDC for the Polymarket order book. Processing: typically under 30 minutes.

What does SOFORT cost as a deposit method?

Polymarket Klarna UK charges no fees for SOFORT. The only cost is the internal FX spread (typically <1%) on EUR→USDC conversion. SOFORT itself has no end-user fees — the platform absorbs acquirer costs.

Which payment methods are supported?

Klarna (Pay Now / Pay Later), SOFORT, SEPA bank transfer, credit card (Visa/Mastercard), Apple Pay, Google Pay, and direct USDC deposit on Polygon. Availability depends on your jurisdiction.

Can I deposit with a credit card?

Yes, Visa and Mastercard. Credit card deposits carry a ~2.5% acquirer surcharge (standard for card payments). Apple Pay and Google Pay run on the same card rails — same surcharge.

What's the minimum deposit?

10 EUR / 10 USD equivalent. No upper limit, but deposits over $1,500 lifetime volume trigger a quick KYC flow (typically 5-10 minutes).