Prediction markets centred on golf majors draw together a diverse participant base: dedicated golf analysts with low handicaps, quantitative researchers employing strokes-gained modelling, and algorithmic traders who view major championships as liquid, well-defined events with transparent settlement mechanics and rich historical datasets.
2026 Golf Major Calendar
- The Masters (April): Augusta National — RESOLVED (check PolyGram for next year)
- US Open (June): Shinnecock Hills — Upcoming
- The Open Championship (July): Royal Troon — Upcoming
- PGA Championship (August): Quail Hollow — Upcoming
US Open 2026 Winner Odds
Live PolyGram pricing as of May 2026:
- Scottie Scheffler: ~20-25% — Top-ranked player, exceptional form throughout 2025-26
- Xander Schauffele: ~12-15% — Major championship victor, reliable performer
- Rory McIlroy: ~10-13% — Seeking US Open breakthrough, excellent mid-iron technique
- Collin Morikawa: ~8-11% — Exceptional ball-striking aligns with US Open demands
- Viktor Hovland: ~6-9% — Proficient with extended irons
Golf Major Trading Edge
Informed traders identify multiple edge opportunities across major championship markets:
- Venue-specific patterns: Particular competitors demonstrate persistent performance divergences at individual courses
- Strokes gained methodology: SG metrics show robust correlation with major outcomes — analyse approach-shot rankings on analogous course setups
- Draw and conditions: Tee-time allocation influences competitive positioning through variable wind and atmospheric factors
- Momentum versus track record: Pricing occasionally emphasises short-term results over established major championship credentials
FAQ
- When do golf major prediction markets resolve?
- Settlement occurs Sunday evening following the concluding round, typically within 24 hours of the winner being confirmed via PGA Tour and R&A official records.
- Can I trade in-round during golf majors?
- PolyGram refreshes markets continuously throughout major championship rounds. Winner odds fluctuate dynamically as competitors move up and down the leaderboard across all 72 holes.
- Are there cut-making markets for golf majors?
- Yes — PolyGram offers individual player cut/miss propositions across major championships, enabling granular trading on deposits and withdrawals at each participant level.